Meetings about AAS (3/9/18, 3/16/18, 3/30/18)

These meetings focus on the upcoming AAS meeting

1. Preliminaries: VK and RD are graduating and their contributions to this paper overlap their needs to write a project report or thesis and present slides at a defense. So we will discuss this first before getting to the paper.
    - RD is defending Friday noon on April 27; needs to fill out Dana's mandatory questions; he has done that so I need to forward the info to Dana soon.
    - VK is defending Friday noon on April 20 in EIT 281; group needs to test the video conferencing software on 3/30/18 meeting or shortly thereafter.

2. RS has submitted the abstract, has joined the AAS in order to be able to submit. Discuss reimbursement for RS, $60 for abstract and $30 for AAS membership: HA suggests we add up everything until the end, then divide by 3.

3. Discuss the presentation-in-progress: RS thinks it is a 15-minute slot which includes questions. He will rehearse the presentation to us before the conference.

4. Discuss the paper-in-progress:
- Papers are all different lengths, but initial impression is that 5 pages or more is fine and mainstream. Few if any papers are 2 pages. So we'll aim for 5 as a broad target.
- The LPU philosophy is alive and well here, especially inasmuch as AAS is not exactly an A pub.
- HA is reformatting the references.
- The paper is due on W April 4. RS is the corresponding author, DB is the technical contact, author list is: VK, RD, RS, HA, DB.
- DB will finalize the paper.
- Formatting guidelines appear here.

OUTLINE

Abstract
1. motivation
2. background (literature review)

    HA is writing it
    Everyone reads/critiques the draft and we continue from there
3. Data Analysis
    Intro statement
    3.1 Visits to extraterrestrial bodies (based on RD's work)
            3.1.1 Graph of % contribution from each country over time.
                     Analysis: Statistical variance over time, showing steady decrease(?)
                     Discussion: notice # of countries increasing over time; graph of it
            3.1.2 Graph of total points for all countries, each year
                     Analysis: find the right different weights for different destinations
                           A more or less monotonically increasing curve is a good result
    3.2 Satellite trends (based on VK's work)
            3.2.1 Graph and discussion of satellite *purpose*
            3.2.2 Graph and discussion of *launch site*
            3.2.3 Graph and discussion of *orbital distance*
            3.2.4 Graph and discussion of successful vs. failed launches over time
            3.2.5 Graph and discussion of comparisons of different countries
            3.2.6 Discussion of patterns and spikes in the data

4. Discussion
    Finding weights for different destinations: it is how to generate a testable hypothesis
         Thus, it is not "overfitting" or "forcing the data to fit the hypothesis"
         A monotonic curve can be extrapolated to make predictions, thus is testable
5. Conclusions and Future Work   
6. References


Meeting 3/2/18: AAS meeting plans

MEETING ABOUT AAS abstract, presentation, and paper

Arkansas Academy of Sciences meeting will be at ASU this year.
- ABSTRACT
We need an abstract for Richard so he can register and upload it. We should pass around drafts for us to comment on. Base it on Venkat's and Rohit's reports. Registration, abstract(s), registration fee and membership dues are due by March 11, see http://www.astate.edu/a/ortt/aas/.
         Q: What should we put in the abstract? RS will compose a draft from RD and VK's report drafts.
         Q: Title? Steps Toward Measuring World Space Exploration Mission Activity
- MEETING:
Meeting will be at ASU on April 6-7, 2018
- PRESENTATION:
RS needs some draft slides from Rohit and Venkat including figures, conclusions, statement of research problems, to prepare his presentation.
- PAPER:
A journal paper submittal is due 2 days before the conference. April 4. We need an outline of a paper so we can start filling it in. DB should start.
        Q: What should we put in it?
        A: Rohit suggests % contribution from each country. Maybe # countries over time. Also find weights for the different destinations that lead to smooth results, thus forming a hypothesis that extrapolates well and provides testable predictions about future activity.
Venkat suggests: purpose, launch site, distance from the surface; numbers over time. Patterns in the data. Why are there spikes in the data? % of successful vs. failed launches over time? Comparisons of countries.
                         OUTLINE OF PAPER AND WRITING PROCESS
Abstract
1. motivation
2. background (literature review)
    HA adds one sentence to the discussion of each reference stating how relevant it is to the paper and why.
    HA reorder the references from least relevant to most relevant.
    DB drafts a literature review from the annotated, ordered list of discussions.
    Everyone reads/critiques the draft and we continue from there
3. Data Analysis
    Intro statement
    3.1 Visits to extraterrestrial bodies (based on Rohit's work)
            3.1.1 Graph of % contribution from each country over time.
                     Analysis: Statistical variance over time, showing steady decrease(?)
                     Discussion: notice # of countries increasing over time; graph of it
            3.1.2 Graph of total points for all countries, each year
                     Analysis: find the right different weights for different destinations
                           A more or less monotonically increasing curve is a good result
    3.2 Satellite trends (based on Venkat's work)
            3.2.1 Graph and discussion of satellite *purpose*
            3.2.2 Graph and discussion of *launch site*
            3.2.3 Graph and discussion of *orbital distance*
            3.2.4 Graph and discussion of successful vs. failed launches over time
            3.2.5 Graph and discussion of comparisons of different countries
            3.2.6 Discussion of patterns and spikes in the data
4. Discussion
    Finding weights for different destinations: it is how to generate a testable hypothesis
         Thus, it is not "overfitting" or "forcing the data to fit the hypothesis"
         A monotonic curve can be extrapolated to make predictions, thus is testable
5. Conclusions and Future Work                  

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