7/31/2020: Agenda and Minutes

Agenda & Minutes

1. Status reports. RS reports that WMSCI is virtual this year. MH reports progress on his paper. PT is completing the application, working on a moving window averaging functionality. DB showed some graphs he developed, illustrating exponential increase in lifetime using moving window averaging, and illustrating the difference between charting lifetime as a function of launch (more generally, manufacture) date, and as a function of failure date.

2. Literature discussion: We reviewed page 2 of this last time. Last time we discussed Strain Your Brain exercise 1 from part II. This was not followed up today due to lack of time.

3. Future potential agenda items planned: We may in the future discuss this on distributional forecasts. Should we find a MS student to apply this method to space exploration? Also Superexponential Long-term Trends in Information Technology by Nagy et al. looks very interesting to discuss. 

7/24/2020: Agenda & Minutes

Agenda & Minutes

1. Status reports. MH is updating the paper (and prepping GRE). PT continuing to work on web application. DB reported on a graph showing recency bias.

2. Literature discussion: We reviewed page 2 of this last time. This time we discussed Strain Your Brain exercise 1 from part II. 

3. Future potential agenda items planned: We may in the future discuss this on distributional forecasts. Should we find a MS student to apply this method to space exploration? Also Superexponential Long-term Trends in Information Technology by Nagy et al. looks very interesting to discuss. 

7/17/20: Continuing

Agenda & Minutes

1. Status reports. PT is exploring time series analysis using R. We discussed various aspects of this.

2. Literature discussion: We reviewed page 2 of this. Next time we'll discuss the Strain the Brain exercises, part II, because they relate to eq. (1) of the paper we read from today. 

3. Future potential agenda items planned: We may in the future discuss this on distributional forecasts. Should we find a MS student to apply this method to space exploration? Also Superexponential Long-term Trends in Information Technology by Nagy et al. looks very interesting to discuss. 

7/10/20: MH paper and discuss F&L

Agenda & Minutes

1. Status reports. 

MH: distributed latest draft. Needs to deal with the 3rd figure - copyright issue needs to be dealt with? RS notes that the references need some more editing. HA and PT provided some comments.

2. Literature discussions: We discussed Farmer and LaFond. Discussion led by RS and PT.

3. Future potential agenda items planned: We may in the future discuss this on distributional forecasts. Should we find a MS student to apply this method to space exploration? Also Superexponential Long-term Trends in Information Technology by Nagy et al. looks very interesting to discuss. 

7/3/2020: Updates and literature discussion. Modeling theory.

Agenda & Minutes

1. Status reports. MH adding new citations, concerned about copyright releases for selected graphs; finishing up on revision. PT looking more into time series methods. DB updated Strain the Brain exercises again. 

2. Strain the Brain update. Khan Academy has some good stuff on differential calculus. VJB reported there are some videos on topics like what does dy/dx really mean. 

4. Literature discussions: Any papers read to report on? PT will lead discussion next time of Farmer and Lafond. We reviewed this, section III A, so next time we look at this paper we'll start with III B. However in the next meeting we will discuss the F&L paper.

5. Future potential agenda items planned: We may in the future discuss this on distributional forecasts. Should we find a MS student to apply this method to space exploration? Also Superexponential Long-term Trends in Information Technology by Nagy et al. looks very interesting to discuss.