10/14/22: OAS paper, etc.

Agenda and Minutes

l. Updates

  • PT: Congratulations on passing the proposal from the committee except one person who couldn't attend. Still waiting on that last person.  
  • HA: Discuss next steps. (Note: OAS said we could submit excerpt to thespacereview.com. Or we could do an updated S-curve figure in early 2023 with 2022 data and submit then.)
    • Conference is before the paper revision deadline, so must work on slides now, while revising paper. Plan to rehearse/present some of the slides next meeting.
    • Paper itself, we went over the reviews and made plans for addressing them. 
 The meeting ended here. The below is from last time.
  • RS: paper will appear in issue 3 or 4 of 2022 (issue 4 comes out in Jan. 2023).
  • MH: Looking at endogenous growth theory after hitting block on patent tool. 
  • What else?
  • Recent space activities? 
    • DART mission update next time? Camera (LICIAcube) is still in existence.
    • Here is the lunar calendar for 2022. This is a new potential hiccup in developing a Moore's law for deep space vessel lifetimes.
      1. Launched: CAPSTONE, a 12-unit CubeSat, lunar orbiter with 9-month planned lifetime, launched after delays. Launch vehicle Lunar Photon may also be a separate independent deep space vessel.
      2. Future: Artemis 1 mission launch was delayed a few times, is now rescheduled for a some time yet to come.
        • Payload: Orion capsule with no crew, will not be reused, and short lifetime of 25 days ending in reentry and recovery
          • Contents: instruments, etc.
        • Payloads: Multiple CubeSats including JAXA's OMOTENASHI
      3. Future: CLPS-1 (Peregrine Mission One), launching in Q4 2022
        • Payload: Peregrine lander with short lifetime
          • Contents: rovers, instruments, etc. with longer lifetimes
      4. Future: CLPS-2 (IM-1) (Intuitive Machines 1), launching Dec. 22
        • Payload: Nova-C lander (lifetime: 1 lunar day)
          • Contents: instruments, rover, CubeSat camera
        • DOGE 1 (CubeSat)
        • Lunar Flashlight (CubeSat)
      5. Future: Luna 25, launching Sept. (doubtful?) by Russia
      6. Future: Smart Lander for Investigating Moon (SLIM), JAXA vessel launching in 2022, short lifetime of 2-3 weeks in orbit and several days after landing
2. Reading and discussion
  • New reading. MR paper (C:\Users\jdberleant\Dropbox\research\SpaceTravelMetric-b6-5-16\PapersAndPresentations\byOthers\MatthewRoughanDraft.pdf. We read parts of it but still need to read section 6 up to 6.1 (which we did read). 
  • Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S9o66fH_sgo 
  • News: https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/23/world/nasa-dart-what-to-see-scn/index.html
  • Possible readings/videos that have not yet been scanned and voted on. As time allows, read/view paragraph/minute or two of each and vote: Should we read it in more depth? 5=strongly agree, 4=agree, 3=neutral, 2=disagree, 1=strongly disagree.
    • Newly added 9/16/22: J. Trancik, Testing and improving technology forecasts for better climate policy, PNAS 2021.
    • Chad Jones, https://web.stanford.edu/~chadj/, writes about endogenous growth theory.
    • Pantelis Koutroumpis, The Productivity Paradox, a report.
    • Some interesting videos are at the Kartik Gada channel such as at https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCuRX67CJhaOT98Jdjh85CEQ which we discussed previously.
    • https://www.planet4589.org. Astronautics section. Something we haven't read yet, like one of the yearly reports. 
    • Future Spaceflight Meditations, a cosmist perspective, by Jiulio Prisco, physicist formerly with the ESA. 
  • Readings that have been rated: we previously scanned and voted on them and they might or might not be read in more depth at some point. Listed in decreasing order of vote score. 
    • Https://www.planet4589.org. Examine the various data files ("catalogs") for several sessions/weeks of readings. Vote was 4. The start point is https://planet4589.org/space/index.html.
    • One of McDowell's *yearly* (not the more frequent news) reports, in particular, the most recent one: https://planet4589.org/space/papers/space21.pdf. We read through the first paragraph of section 1.1. Vote to continue was 4.
    • Already voted on: Portland International Conference on Management of Engineering and Technology. Let's find out more about it. We skimmed https://www.picmet.org/main/ and the question next is whether we want to read through the site in more detail. Do we search this site for another paper/papers to read? Vote was 3 11/12.
    • Already voted on. We found that the paper at https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-40896-1_3 seems like it might be a good paper for us to read. Vote was 3.9.
    • Already voted on: One candidate: https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/394111 is a recent account of using DEA (which is part of TFDEA). We rechecked the abstract and read the first paragraph. Votes were: 3,5,2,5,4, averaging 3.8. 
    • Goldin et al., The Productivity Paradox, https://cs.stanford.edu/people/eroberts/cs201/projects/productivity-paradox/. We read the "Home" tab and 2 paragraphs of the "Background" tab. Vote to continue reading was: 3.5.
    • 5/20/22: We read the enlarged font paragraph at the beginning of "Women's Place in Space Exploration, 1996, ...\femaleAstronauts\relatedArticles\WomenPlaceInSpaceExplorationRef2.pdf. Vote was 3 1/3.
    • Already voted on: The Institute for Progress. They address questions like what policies and social factors affect technological progress. We will try out a bit of https://progress.institute/immigration-powers-american-progress/ to see if we want to read it in full. Vote was 3 2/7.
    • Voted on 4/15/22: One of McDowell's update reports, available on the website. Link is: https://planet4589.org/space/jsr/jsr.html. We checked #804. Vote was 3 1/12.
  • Completed readings
    • Https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2019/07/we-need-new-science-progress/594946 on "progress studies." Completed 9/30/22.
    • Ryan et al., "A Forgotten Moment in Physiology: the Lovelace Woman in Space Program (1960-1962)", 2009. Completed 7/22/22.
    • Various previous papers.
  • Here are some generic questions about articles (and videos):
    • What is the source?
    • What is the most significant advance in the human knowledge presented in the paper?
    • Why is that advance important?
    • What important questions arise from the paper for future research?
    • What important questions would it be nice if the paper answered, but does not answer?
    • What does the paper present that is novel (no one else has provided that before)?
    • What is the relevance of the paper to our satellite research goals?
    • Questions from the group?

 

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