Displays in the International UFO Museum and Research Center, Roswell, NM (Summer 2022):
Above: from the movie The Day the Earth Stood Still
1. Announcements
- None
2. Updates and status reports
- Student updates: PT - Trying different window sizes.
- Should we create a kidney discussion group? Perhaps not.
- JS: Bayesian model averaging. Given prior probabilities for each model, use Bayes' theorem to calculate the posterior probability density function. Priors are not always easily available.
- "Bayesian model
average: A parameter estimate (or a prediction of new observations)
obtained by averaging the estimates (or predictions) of the different
models under consideration, each weighted by its model probability" - https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/2515245919898657.
- EG suggests checking Jeffreys prior (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeffreys_prior).
- EG suggests https://acrpnet.org/2021/12/21/how-and-why-bayesian-statistics-are-revolutionizing-pharmaceutical-decision-making/
- JS will explain in the next meeting what will be presented in a relevant PhD proposal presentation on Monday. We will then decide whether to invite the speaker to our group for a guest presentation.The following meeting he will explain frequentist model averaging.
3. Reading and discussion
- Readings:
- We have read from https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/9/2/572, up to "The second approach focuses on predicting transplant patient survival periods" in section 3. We can continue in a future meeting depending on the attendance profile.
- In a future meeting we can read from https://planet4589.org/space/astro/web/astrolist.html depending on the attendance profile.
- We continued discussing the "SatType scheme" page
- ... at https://www.planet4589.org
> https://planet4589.org/space/index.html >
https://planet4589.org/space/gcat/web/intro >
https://planet4589.org/space/gcat/web/intro/type.html. We got through "Byte 4" section, row "E", and can start after that next time.
- NOTE: the "SatType scheme" page describes the column labeled "Type" in the relevant tables, particularly https://planet4589.org/space/gcat/data/cat/satcat.html (thanks to Planet4589 for clarifying this a bit in the documentation).
We ended here.
- We earlier started: https://www.newthingsunderthesun.com/pub/4xnyepnn/release/9. We read up to "In their paper, firms use these technologies to produce a fixed amount of output every period." MC later requested putting our comments in the minutes for later review - good idea. Maybe we can time share across 2 readings next time, and thus get to some material from this source.
- https://towardsdatascience.com/understanding-auc-roc-curve-68b2303cc9c5
might be good to read at some point. We should evaluate that.
- Here are some generic questions about articles (and videos):
- What is the source?
- What is the most significant advance in the human knowledge presented in the paper?
- Why is that advance important?
- What important questions arise from the paper for future research?
- What important questions would it be nice if the paper answered, but does not answer?
- What does the paper present that is novel (no one else has provided that before)?
- What is the relevance of the paper to our satellite research goals?
- Questions from the group?
3. Completed readings include:
- 3/17/23: We read https://planet4589.org/space/astro/web/astrolist.html.
- We finished section 6 of MR paper (C:\Users\jdberleant\Dropbox\research\SpaceTravelMetric-b6-5-16\PapersAndPresentations\byOthers\MatthewRoughanDraft.pdf). This completes the parts that we planned to read.
- Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S9o66fH_sgo (about MOXIE device which converts CO2 to oxygen). We then read a bit more about MOXIE on wikipedia.
- Https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2019/07/we-need-new-science-progress/594946 on "progress studies." Completed 9/30/22.
- Ryan et al., "A Forgotten Moment in Physiology: the Lovelace Woman in Space Program (1960-1962)", 2009. Completed 7/22/22.
- Various previous papers.
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